Alex Krainer Central banks, Commodity price, Inflation hedge, Monetary inflation, Portfolio management

Inflation and the coming commodity super-cycle

In December 2020 I published the article, "The Coming Inflation Tsunami and How to Protect Your Portfolio," warning that inflation could burst forth suddenly and with force, that it would have devastating effects on investor wealth and that exposure to commodity futures represents the best possible hedge against inflation. At the time, the feedback from … Continue reading Inflation and the coming commodity super-cycle

Alex Krainer Central banks, Equities, Monetary inflation, Trend following

Will the Fed walk the hawkish talk?

On Tuesday last week (4 January), the markets got spooked by the released minutes of a Federal Reserve Open Market Committee's meeting held three weeks prior. What was the fuss all about? Well the minutes indicated that the Fed seems to be inclined to envision starting to prepare to begin planning to initiate raising interest … Continue reading Will the Fed walk the hawkish talk?

Alex Krainer Central banks, Equities, Monetary inflation

The one force moving stock prices and what it tells us about the future

(Originally written in November 2019) Back when I traded stocks in late 1990s, I had a gnawing suspicion that beyond the nonstop noise of the news flow, there was some force pushing the rising tide, but I couldn’t discern what it was. By today I think I worked it out. The most surprising thing about … Continue reading The one force moving stock prices and what it tells us about the future