Italian elections: beginning of the end for the EU?

Italians voted in parliamentary elections yesterday. The exit polls released by the national broadcaster Rai indicate that the Brothers of Italy party led by Giorgia Meloni won the clear majority (22.5%-26.5% of the vote). Meloni is set to become Italy's next prime minister and form the new cabinet. Meloni's populist leanings are almost identical to those of … Continue reading Italian elections: beginning of the end for the EU?

Japan: the harbinger of bad things to come…

The accelerating collapse of Japanese economy will foreshadow the unravelling of the European, British and ultimately even American crises. It is time to pay attention as the crisis presents major risks – but also opportunities. Things were discernible long ago… Way back in March of 2010 I published an article titled, “Japan: the Harbinger of … Continue reading Japan: the harbinger of bad things to come…

A small short? The coming collapse of the air travel industry

Food production and the fossil fuel industries are not the only ones on the globalists' chopping block. Last weekend I was invited to a zoom call with the German firebrand MEP Christine Anderson who gave us a brief report about the recent vote in the EU parliament to extend the Covid pass requirement for another year. The … Continue reading A small short? The coming collapse of the air travel industry

Eurasian integration: is it lights out for high priests of Davos?

Last August, when the Taliban walked into Kabul and took over Afghanistan almost unopposed, I wrote that this might have been the empire's mortal wound and that we would see a very extensive redrawing of global alliances and security architecture. In my 17 September TrendCompass report, I wrote: "Nations that have held onto some degree of sovereignty … Continue reading Eurasian integration: is it lights out for high priests of Davos?

Truth and trend following in speculation

A sustainable approach to investment management should be based on four key principles: truthstrategydisciplinepatience I think nobody would object to the last three of these principles, but "truth" always gets the conversation going. This is all particularly relevant in today’s environment of deepening uncertainty. Discerning truth What I mean by truth is multifaceted, but mainly … Continue reading Truth and trend following in speculation

The fall of Global Britain – an investment hypothesis

On August 15, 2021 when the Taliban took over Kabul, I posted an analysis in which I noted that the event would prove to have very far-reaching consequences and that it would be the United Kingdom which might sustain the greatest setback from it (a 14-min video report is here). This was confirmed by an … Continue reading The fall of Global Britain – an investment hypothesis

Why the loss of Afghanistan will ultimately end the Empire

Former Fed Chairman Arthur Burns said that, “A subtle understanding of economic change comes from a knowledge of history and large affairs, not from statistics or their processing alone.” So far as large affairs go, the recent events in Afghanistan could hardly be any larger. On Sunday, 15 August Taliban fighters entered Kabul unopposed and … Continue reading Why the loss of Afghanistan will ultimately end the Empire