Technical Analysis, deemed as voodoo superstition by many - perhaps most - investment professionals, can be extremely useful to traders, not so much as means of prediction as means to identify trades with positive risk-to-reward attributes. In the past, I identified valid trading signals for Bitcoin, based entirely on TA: 14 May 2021: "Bitcoin reversal? … Continue reading Trading on Technical Analysis – Bitcoin again…
Japan: the harbinger of bad things to come…
The accelerating collapse of Japanese economy will foreshadow the unravelling of the European, British and ultimately even American crises. It is time to pay attention as the crisis presents major risks – but also opportunities. Things were discernible long ago… Way back in March of 2010 I published an article titled, “Japan: the Harbinger of … Continue reading Japan: the harbinger of bad things to come…
A small short? The coming collapse of the air travel industry
Food production and the fossil fuel industries are not the only ones on the globalists' chopping block. Last weekend I was invited to a zoom call with the German firebrand MEP Christine Anderson who gave us a brief report about the recent vote in the EU parliament to extend the Covid pass requirement for another year. The … Continue reading A small short? The coming collapse of the air travel industry
Eurasian integration: is it lights out for high priests of Davos?
Last August, when the Taliban walked into Kabul and took over Afghanistan almost unopposed, I wrote that this might have been the empire's mortal wound and that we would see a very extensive redrawing of global alliances and security architecture. In my 17 September TrendCompass report, I wrote: "Nations that have held onto some degree of sovereignty … Continue reading Eurasian integration: is it lights out for high priests of Davos?
Truth and trend following in speculation
A sustainable approach to investment management should be based on four key principles: truthstrategydisciplinepatience I think nobody would object to the last three of these principles, but "truth" always gets the conversation going. This is all particularly relevant in today’s environment of deepening uncertainty. Discerning truth What I mean by truth is multifaceted, but mainly … Continue reading Truth and trend following in speculation
Geopolitics, markets and trend following
If you trade, trend following could prove your protector guardian through the coming market turbulence - do not fly blind. Over the past 10 weeks I-System trend following strategies generated $50 per barrel in profits from the oil price rise - $50,000 per Brent futures contract. Here's how. Following trends vs. trading the news Over … Continue reading Geopolitics, markets and trend following
My University of Texas guest lecture on trend following
Markets move in trends. This is a glaringly obvious fact for anyone with eyes to see. In fact, already 2000 years ago in his timeless classic, "The Art of War," Sun Tzu identified trends as one of the three great avenues of opportunity. In spite of that, the idea that markets move in trends is … Continue reading My University of Texas guest lecture on trend following
Are Gold and Silver due for an explosive rally?
As we approach the autumn season, the charts of both Gold and Silver look very interesting, suggesting that over the next few months we could see very significant price events in both precious metals. I base this purely on my reading of Gold and Silver price charts but I’ll also address some unprecedented anomalies in … Continue reading Are Gold and Silver due for an explosive rally?
Why the loss of Afghanistan will ultimately end the Empire
Former Fed Chairman Arthur Burns said that, “A subtle understanding of economic change comes from a knowledge of history and large affairs, not from statistics or their processing alone.” So far as large affairs go, the recent events in Afghanistan could hardly be any larger. On Sunday, 15 August Taliban fighters entered Kabul unopposed and … Continue reading Why the loss of Afghanistan will ultimately end the Empire
Treasury yields crash: as experts scramble for clues, trend followers profit.
The market for U.S. Treasury securities is the single largest market in the world. It sets the interest rates on American government debt which is the most important price in the global markets and as such kept under a microscope by an army of analysts worldwide. Recently a relatively minor drop in yields left the … Continue reading Treasury yields crash: as experts scramble for clues, trend followers profit.