Are Gold and Silver due for an explosive rally?

As we approach the autumn season, the charts of both Gold and Silver look very interesting, suggesting that over the next few months we could see very significant price events in both precious metals. I base this purely on my reading of Gold and Silver price charts but I’ll also address some unprecedented anomalies in … Continue reading Are Gold and Silver due for an explosive rally?

Is it a buy? Gold and Silver prices round-out a bullish technical case

One of the greatest worries for investors and savers – and also everyone living on fixed income – is inflation, which could accelerate to levels not seen since the 1970s. One of the asset classes that ofer effective protection from inflation are precious metals. Over the recent months, as many commodities have rallied strongly (Oats, … Continue reading Is it a buy? Gold and Silver prices round-out a bullish technical case

Treasury yields crash: as experts scramble for clues, trend followers profit.

The market for U.S. Treasury securities is the single largest market in the world. It sets the interest rates on American government debt which is the most important price in the global markets and as such kept under a microscope by an army of analysts worldwide. Recently a relatively minor drop in yields left the … Continue reading Treasury yields crash: as experts scramble for clues, trend followers profit.

BITCOIN: a buy at $32,000?

Over the past four weeks Bitcoin's price fluctuations have traced an interesting pattern that suggest a favorable risk-reward ratio, an acceptable point of entry (at the time of this writing at about $32,600), close stop-loss point and a much more open upside potential. The analysis is offered in the following 7-minute YouTube video report: https://youtu.be/O1Q0FsycUO0

Bitcoin reversal? Three technical warning signs!

Bitcoin has been one of the favorite objects of trading speculation in the recent years: it's vaulted over six million percent with compound annual return of more than 200% every year since 2009 (h/t Raoul Pal). https://youtu.be/Qn-7oFKXsE8 Even just in the last 12 months, it has gone up from under $10,000 to over $63,000. However, … Continue reading Bitcoin reversal? Three technical warning signs!

TrendCompass Major Markets 2020/21 performance review

Our Major Markets portfolio consists of 180 trend following strategies (long, medium and short cycle trends) in 15 of the most important markets for global investors. Daily TrendCompass reports convey the directional exposure and trading signals for all these strategies. Here we'll look at the performance of these signals from the start of 2020 through … Continue reading TrendCompass Major Markets 2020/21 performance review

CTAs and the treasuries reversal: time to pay attention?

One thing I have learned over time is the best thing to do is let market price action guide your decision-making and then try to understand the fundamentals as they become more evident and comprehensible."Paul Tudor Jones, "The Great Monetary Inflation" - May, 2020 Institutions like Nomura, JPMorgan, Rabobank and others watch CTA hedge funds' … Continue reading CTAs and the treasuries reversal: time to pay attention?

How Stan Druckenmiller missed market top by an hour and lost half his fund

For indeed, the investor’s chief problem – and even his worst enemy – is likely to be himself.Benjamin Graham This is a rather spectacular story. It is 20 years old but it is as relevant today as it ever was for it sheds light on one of the key problems in investment speculation: human psychology. … Continue reading How Stan Druckenmiller missed market top by an hour and lost half his fund

Are treasury futures signaling a trend reversal?

Over the past few trading sessions, I-System strategies have gradually reversed from long to short positions on treasury futures (long gilt, German bund, US 30-yr T-Bond), with the exception of the 10-year T-Note where our positioning remains net long. This could be a significant development if we are looking at the beginning of a major … Continue reading Are treasury futures signaling a trend reversal?