More than a century of empirical data covering 18 of the world’s largest stock markets show beyond a shadow of doubt that market trends are the most powerful drivers of investment performance. The foundations of a successful long-term investment management practice should rest on four pillars: TruthStrategyDisciplinePatience Truth is what we try to uncover by … Continue reading Market trends: far and away the most powerful drivers of investment performance
As tropical storm Elsa powers toward Florida, a new hurricane season is upon us. Hurricanes are one of the starkest cases of nature’s elements having a direct impact on financial and commodities markets. If a storm hits the coastal regions of Texas and Louisiana in the Gulf of Mexico with sufficient strength, it can cause … Continue reading Hurricane science for investors and traders
Last week the Visual Capitalist published another one of their infographics, this time about the oil reserves of different nations. As usual, they make nice-looking graphics, but this document yet again perpetuates the seemingly immortal myth about the magical, inexhaustible Saudi oil reserves which, says the Visual Capitalist, amount to 291 billion barrels. They got … Continue reading The coming energy crisis – the case of dwindling Saudi oil reserves (video + transcript)
I recently gave an interview to Michael Covel of "Trend Following Radio" podcast which I found thoroughly enjoyable and stimulating. Over the years I've read much of Michael's articles, interviews and one of his books so I already knew we were very much on the same wavelength when it came to investment trading, but our … Continue reading My interview with Michael Covel on the “Trend Following Radio” podcast
On Friday, 15 May I posted an impromptu analysis warning about the imminent price correction or reversal for Bitcoin. The article I published on ZeroHedge got some 7,300 reads and 24 comments. Chart analysis: not rocket science - but still scoffed at as superstition by the learned expert class. Although the analysis could not have … Continue reading Bitcoin and the problem of uncertainty
Bitcoin has been one of the favorite objects of trading speculation in the recent years: it's vaulted over six million percent with compound annual return of more than 200% every year since 2009 (h/t Raoul Pal). https://youtu.be/Qn-7oFKXsE8 Even just in the last 12 months, it has gone up from under $10,000 to over $63,000. However, … Continue reading Bitcoin reversal? Three technical warning signs!
After much thought and preparations I am delighted to announce the launch of MARKETS, TRENDS and PROFITS channel on YouTube. The mission behind I-System Trend Following and this channel is to explore financial markets and the secrets of investing profitably -FOR THE LONG TERM. What we’ll cover here is not commonly taught in university courses … Continue reading Money management: strategy vs. gimmicks and why it matters
Over the last two decades, tens of millions of people have opted to open brokerage accounts and manage their own investment portfolios. However, according to those brokerage's figures, as many as 76% of them lose money. The reason is that they trade either with flawed strategies or no strategy at all. Particularly today, at the … Continue reading Invest profitably for the long-term, with confidence and peace of mind!
After the 2008/9 financial crisis, managed futures funds emerged victorious from the rubble. As equity markets around the world collapsed and most hedge fund strategies sustained severe losses, the CTAs generated strong positive performance, because most of them rely on systematic trend following strategies, which means that they tend to perform well during bear markets. … Continue reading Trend following: why it fell from grace and why it will rise again
Our Major Markets portfolio consists of 180 trend following strategies (long, medium and short cycle trends) in 15 of the most important markets for global investors. Daily TrendCompass reports convey the directional exposure and trading signals for all these strategies. Here we'll look at the performance of these signals from the start of 2020 through … Continue reading TrendCompass Major Markets 2020/21 performance review